ADP 2025-2026

Yearly h2h category leagues

2025-2026

Sourced from our Draft-only H2H leagues which are organized throughout the offseason.

Rank	Estimated ADP		Log-ADP	Drafted %	Variance	IQR Range
1	1.1	Nikola Jokic	1.215	100.0	0.0398	1-1
2	2.3	Victor Wembanyama	1.372	100.0	0.0746	2-3
3	2.6	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	1.402	100.0	0.0538	2-3
4	4.0	Luka Doncic	1.529	100.0	0.0	4-4
5	5.4	Giannis Antetokounmpo	1.624	100.0	0.0389	5-6
6	6.9	Cade Cunningham	1.71	100.0	0.0822	6-8
7	7.5	Anthony Edwards	1.74	100.0	0.0773	7-9
8	7.6	Karl-Anthony Towns	1.74	100.0	0.0742	6-8
9	8.7	Trae Young	1.793	100.0	0.1074	7-10
10	9.4	James Harden	1.82	100.0	0.05	9-10
11	10.7	Anthony Davis	1.868	100.0	0.0378	10-11
12	13.0	Domantas Sabonis	1.941	100.0	0.088	11-15
13	14.0	Devin Booker	1.969	100.0	0.0544	13-14
14	14.3	Stephen Curry	1.979	100.0	0.087	12-16
15	15.5	Donovan Mitchell	2.011	100.0	0.0521	14-16
16	15.9	Kevin Durant	2.019	100.0	0.0482	15-16
17	18.3	Jalen Williams	2.076	100.0	0.0788	18-20
18	19.1	Evan Mobley	2.093	100.0	0.1128	16-23
19	20.1	Tyrese Maxey	2.114	100.0	0.0852	17-22
20	20.6	LeBron James	2.122	100.0	0.0875	18-22
21	20.9	Jalen Johnson	2.129	100.0	0.0716	19-24
22	21.8	Scottie Barnes	2.145	100.0	0.0633	18-24
23	22.2	LaMelo Ball	2.153	100.0	0.0528	20-24
24	22.2	Jalen Brunson	2.153	100.0	0.0866	19-25
25	26.6	Alperen Sengun	2.226	100.0	0.0642	24-29
26	27.2	Jaren Jackson	2.236	100.0	0.1175	25-33
27	28.3	Joel Embiid	2.251	100.0	0.1002	22-33
28	29.5	Amen Thompson	2.268	100.0	0.064	26-33
29	29.6	Josh Giddey	2.27	100.0	0.05	27-32
30	29.9	Chet Holmgren	2.274	100.0	0.0909	25-31
31	31.0	Paolo Banchero	2.289	100.0	0.0945	27-35
32	31.3	Bam Adebayo	2.293	100.0	0.038	30-33
33	31.4	Pascal Siakam	2.294	100.0	0.1193	27-37
34	32.8	De'Aaron Fox	2.312	100.0	0.0579	30-37
35	35.4	Myles Turner	2.343	100.0	0.0454	34-36
36	36.0	Dyson Daniels	2.351	100.0	0.0617	33-40
37	36.5	Tyler Herro	2.356	100.0	0.0724	34-41
38	38.9	Cooper Flagg	2.383	100.0	0.0367	37-40
39	39.1	Derrick White	2.385	100.0	0.0696	36-43
40	39.5	Desmond Bane	2.389	100.0	0.0887	33-47
41	42.3	Franz Wagner	2.418	100.0	0.0438	40-46
42	42.7	Jaylen Brown	2.422	100.0	0.069	39-47
43	43.3	Ivica Zubac	2.428	100.0	0.1104	36-52
44	43.6	Nikola Vucevic	2.43	100.0	0.0714	39-48
45	44.7	Austin Reaves	2.441	100.0	0.0689	38-49
46	44.9	Kawhi Leonard	2.443	100.0	0.0614	42-48
47	45.7	Ja Morant	2.45	100.0	0.0478	41-49
48	46.8	Jamal Murray	2.46	100.0	0.0595	42-50
49	50.8	Darius Garland	2.495	100.0	0.0543	47-54
50	52.2	Zach LaVine	2.506	100.0	0.055	48-57
51	52.6	Deni Avdija	2.509	100.0	0.075	48-57
52	53.0	Trey Murphy	2.513	100.0	0.0289	50-55
53	54.7	Josh Hart	2.526	100.0	0.078	47-61
54	55.4	Jimmy Butler	2.531	100.0	0.0514	49-62
55	56.8	Kristaps Porzingis	2.541	100.0	0.0758	52-60
56	56.9	Jalen Duren	2.542	100.0	0.0666	53-64
57	57.1	Walker Kessler	2.544	100.0	0.0914	52-66
58	57.1	Zion Williamson	2.544	100.0	0.0941	47-63
59	57.7	Coby White	2.548	100.0	0.0364	54-62
60	59.1	Jarrett Allen	2.559	100.0	0.0541	55-65
61	60.3	OG Anunoby	2.567	100.0	0.0413	57-61
62	64.6	Onyeka Okongwu	2.596	100.0	0.0448	60-70
63	64.8	Jordan Poole	2.598	100.0	0.0576	58-69
64	64.9	Brandon Miller	2.598	100.0	0.0671	59-70
65	66.3	DeMar DeRozan	2.607	100.0	0.0707	58-77
66	67.4	Rudy Gobert	2.614	100.0	0.0668	59-76
67	67.7	Jakob Poeltl	2.616	100.0	0.0743	59-75
68	68.6	Paul George	2.621	100.0	0.0789	63-82
69	68.7	Immanuel Quickley	2.622	100.0	0.0433	65-72
70	70.8	Lauri Markkanen	2.635	100.0	0.0567	66-78
71	72.0	Julius Randle	2.642	100.0	0.0365	69-77
72	72.2	Mark Williams	2.643	100.0	0.0556	63-79
73	72.2	Fred VanVleet	2.643	100.0	0.0398	67-77
74	72.1	Miles Bridges	2.643	100.0	0.0485	65-76
75	73.2	Jalen Green	2.649	100.0	0.0611	70-76
76	73.6	Mikal Bridges	2.652	100.0	0.0639	73-79
77	76.4	Alex Sarr	2.667	100.0	0.0393	70-81
78	78.9	Brandon Ingram	2.681	100.0	0.0525	70-85
79	79.4	Donovan Clingan	2.684	100.0	0.0522	72-86
80	79.8	Anfernee Simons	2.686	100.0	0.087	74-88
81	80.5	Payton Pritchard	2.689	100.0	0.072	77-90
82	81.0	Christian Braun	2.692	100.0	0.0483	76-85
83	81.5	Isaiah Hartenstein	2.695	100.0	0.0567	75-91
84	83.2	Jalen Suggs	2.703	100.0	0.0569	76-92
85	84.4	Deandre Ayton	2.71	100.0	0.046	79-88
86	84.8	John Collins	2.712	100.0	0.0635	73-96
87	85.1	Michael Porter	2.713	100.0	0.0536	82-93
88	85.0	Ausar Thompson	2.713	100.0	0.0473	80-89
89	85.3	Cameron Johnson	2.714	100.0	0.0285	83-88
90	90.6	Norman Powell	2.74	100.0	0.0527	81-99
91	91.2	Shaedon Sharpe	2.743	100.0	0.0533	83-101
92	91.9	RJ Barrett	2.746	100.0	0.0454	88-95
93	96.0	Andrew Nembhard	2.765	100.0	0.0573	88-107
94	96.4	Draymond Green	2.766	100.0	0.0386	91-100
95	96.8	Stephon Castle	2.768	100.0	0.0434	90-103
96	99.0	Nicolas Claxton	2.777	100.0	0.0431	96-101
97	100.0	Devin Vassell	2.782	100.0	0.0376	98-105
98	100.4	Toumani Camara	2.784	100.0	0.0345	96-106
99	101.1	Jaden McDaniels	2.787	100.0	0.0737	97-112
100	101.7	Bradley Beal	2.789	100.0	0.0362	95-108
101	102.1	Cameron Thomas	2.791	100.0	0.0441	95-108
102	102.3	Kel'el Ware	2.792	100.0	0.0446	94-109
103	103.2	Malik Monk	2.795	100.0	0.0588	95-112
104	103.9	Keyonte George	2.798	100.0	0.0305	99-106
105	106.5	Tari Eason	2.809	100.0	0.0402	101-111
106	107.1	Naz Reid	2.811	100.0	0.0408	100-114
107	108.3	Keegan Murray	2.816	100.0	0.048	99-117
108	108.7	Tobias Harris	2.817	100.0	0.0405	104-119
109	111.4	Matas Buzelis	2.828	100.0	0.065	97-124
110	112.1	CJ McCollum	2.831	100.0	0.0395	108-116
111	112.7	Bobby Portis	2.833	100.0	0.0672	108-126
112	113.1	Andrew Wiggins	2.835	100.0	0.058	100-126
113	113.5	Scoot Henderson	2.836	100.0	0.0363	107-121
114	114.0	Donte DiVincenzo	2.838	100.0	0.045	104-122
115	114.8	Herbert Jones	2.841	100.0	0.0363	111-121
116	115.1	Brandin Podziemski	2.842	100.0	0.0265	112-121
117	117.9	Kyle Filipowski	2.852	100.0	0.0269	113-123
118	118.4	Zach Edey	2.854	100.0	0.0607	108-129
119	118.7	Dennis Schroder	2.855	100.0	0.0431	115-125
120	120.0	Dereck Lively	2.86	100.0	0.0471	111-128
121	120.6	Bennedict Mathurin	2.862	100.0	0.0471	110-129
122	122.2	Carlton Carrington	2.868	100.0	0.0399	117-127
123	122.7	Daniel Gafford	2.869	100.0	0.0508	114-135
124	125.0	D'Angelo Russell	2.877	100.0	0.0356	119-131
125	125.0	Quentin Grimes	2.877	100.0	0.0687	120-137
126	125.2	Bilal Coulibaly	2.878	100.0	0.0445	124-132
127	128.1	Santi Aldama	2.888	100.0	0.0257	122-132
128	129.3	Jaden Ivey	2.892	100.0	0.0405	124-136
129	130.1	Yves Missi	2.894	100.0	0.0554	119-143
130	133.8	Collin Sexton	2.906	100.0	0.0553	124-146
131	133.7	Ayo Dosunmu	2.906	100.0	0.0538	127-144
132	135.4	Kevin Porter	2.912	100.0	0.0692	129-145
133	135.5	Jabari Smith	2.912	100.0	0.0461	127-146
134	137.8	Jrue Holiday	2.919	100.0	0.0419	133-148
135	138.0	Cason Wallace	2.92	100.0	0.0343	131-141
136	138.2	De'Andre Hunter	2.921	100.0	0.0498	129-149
137	138.9	Aaron Gordon	2.923	100.0	0.0242	133-144
138	141.1	T.J. McConnell	2.929	100.0	0.0208	138-144
139	141.4	Isaiah Collier	2.93	91.7	0.0703	133-141
140	142.5	Dejounte Murray	2.933	75.0	0.1466	106-152
141	143.9	Jonathan Kuminga	2.938	100.0	0.0342	135-151
142	144.2	Zaccharie Risacher	2.939	100.0	0.0493	140-152
143	145.4	Scotty Pippen	2.942	100.0	0.0443	138-156
144	147.1	P.J. Washington	2.947	83.3	0.0875	124-146
145	149.0	Chris Paul	2.953	91.7	0.057	137-151
146	150.8	Kyrie Irving	2.958	50.0	0.1918	84-130
147	153.1	Cam Whitmore	2.964	91.7	0.0636	135-161
148	156.0	Wendell Carter	2.972	83.3	0.0761	138-155
149	156.8	Aaron Nesmith	2.975	91.7	0.0529	146-159
150	157.7	Davion Mitchell	2.977	83.3	0.0758	138-159
151	158.9	Klay Thompson	2.98	75.0	0.0897	136-148
152	160.8	Alex Caruso	2.985	75.0	0.0825	139-147
153	161.1	Kyle Kuzma	2.986	66.7	0.1107	117-158
154	162.5	Ty Jerome	2.99	83.3	0.0623	149-159
155	163.0	Tyus Jones	2.991	58.3	0.1251	121-152
156	163.6	Dylan Harper	2.993	75.0	0.0772	145-153
157	165.6	Kyshawn George	2.998	75.0	0.0792	148-163
158	166.6	Kelly Oubre Jr.	3.001	75.0	0.0737	150-157
159	168.8	Jerami Grant	3.006	66.7	0.0884	143-156
160	173.1	Jaylen Wells	3.017	58.3	0.091	147-149
161	174.0	Duncan Robinson	3.02	58.3	0.0857	146-151
162	175.7	Gary Trent	3.023	66.7	0.0697	156-158
163	176.0	Ace Bailey	3.024	58.3	0.083	145-157
164	176.4	Kon Knueppel	3.025	66.7	0.0734	159-164
165	179.8	VJ Edgecombe	3.033	58.3	0.0797	155-165
166	179.8	Brook Lopez	3.034	50.0	0.0905	140-156
167	184.1	Isaiah Jackson	3.044	50.0	0.0766	151-158
168	184.5	Taylor Hendricks	3.045	50.0	0.0768	149-164
169	186.0	Jeremy Sochan	3.048	50.0	0.074	155-162
170	187.8	Keon Ellis	3.052	41.7	0.0796	149-155
171	190.9	Jay Huff	3.059	41.7	0.0702	157-161
172	194.3	Cole Anthony	3.067	33.3	0.0747	150-160
173	194.7	Jose Alvarado	3.068	33.3	0.0731	151-158
174	195.7	Russell Westbrook	3.07	25.0	0.084	140-143
175	196.9	Gradey Dick	3.073	33.3	0.0655	158-161
176	197.7	Peyton Watson	3.074	33.3	0.0626	160-164
177	197.8	Tre Johnson	3.075	25.0	0.0802	142-165
178	199.9	Jared McCain	3.079	16.7	0.0873	128-130
179	200.1	Khaman Maluach	3.079	25.0	0.068	151-160
180	203.1	Egor Demin	3.086	25.0	0.0552	163-166
181	205.2	Jordan Clarkson	3.09	16.7	0.0615	147-159
182	204.8	Malik Beasley	3.09	16.7	0.0642	145-155
183	205.6	Keldon Johnson	3.091	16.7	0.0579	151-158
184	205.4	Adem Bona	3.091	16.7	0.0608	149-154
185	205.4	Caris LeVert	3.091	16.7	0.061	150-152
186	206.6	Ryan Kalkbrenner	3.093	16.7	0.0539	155-161
187	206.5	Reed Sheppard	3.093	16.7	0.0536	155-162
188	207.1	Chris Boucher	3.094	16.7	0.051	159-163
189	206.7	Jalen Smith	3.094	16.7	0.0534	157-159
190	207.0	Nikola Jovic	3.094	16.7	0.051	159-163
191	207.4	Kris Dunn	3.095	16.7	0.0493	161-163
192	207.2	Marcus Smart	3.095	8.3	0.0741	120-120
193	208.2	Yang Hansen	3.097	16.7	0.0472	164-164
194	210.4	Mitchell Robinson	3.101	8.3	0.0524	143-143
195	211.0	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	3.103	8.3	0.0498	146-146
196	211.6	Derik Queen	3.104	8.3	0.0456	151-151
197	211.6	Brice Sensabaugh	3.104	8.3	0.044	153-153
198	212.1	Lonzo Ball	3.105	8.3	0.0424	155-155
199	212.1	Day'Ron Sharpe	3.105	8.3	0.04	158-158
200	212.4	Clint Capela	3.105	8.3	0.0377	161-161
201	212.2	Ryan Dunn	3.105	8.3	0.0416	156-156
202	212.7	Moussa Diabate	3.106	8.3	0.0369	162-162
203	212.7	Obi Toppin	3.106	8.3	0.0361	163-163
204	212.7	Naji Marshall	3.106	8.3	0.0361	163-163
205	212.7	Tre Jones	3.106	8.3	0.0377	161-161
206	212.9	Buddy Hield	3.106	8.3	0.0339	166-166
207	213.2	Collin Murray-Boyles	3.107	8.3	0.0324	168-168
208	213.0	Sam Hauser	3.107	8.3	0.0339	166-166
209	213.2	Noah Clowney	3.107	8.3	0.0331	167-167
210	213.3	Walter Clayton	3.107	8.3	0.0324	168-168
211	213.1	Neemias Queta	3.107	8.3	0.0331	167-167
212	213.3	Aaron Wiggins	3.107	8.3	0.0331	167-167
213	213.0	Nique Clifford	3.107	8.3	0.0339	166-166
214	213.1	Miles McBride	3.107	8.3	0.0346	165-165
215	213.1	Ryan Rollins	3.107	8.3	0.0346	165-165
216	213.3	Zach Collins	3.107	8.3	0.0331	167-167
217	213.2	Guerschon Yabusele	3.107	8.3	0.0324	168-168

🧾 Glossary of NR-ADP++ Draft Output Attributes

Attribute	Description
Estimated Pick #	The player's average draft slot, reverse-calculated from the log-scaled ADP. Reflects an intuitive pick number adjusted to average draft size.
Log-ADP	Logarithmic average draft position. Provides high-resolution ranking while minimizing the distortion from late-draft picks.
Drafted %	Percentage of draft drafts in which the player was selected. Indicates consensus and reliability.
Variance	Standard deviation of the player’s log-scaled draft positions across all drafts. High variance suggests volatility or disagreement among drafts.
IQR Range	The interquartile range (Q1–Q3) of pick positions (e.g., `8.0–14.5`) where the player was selected. Represents the middle 50% of draft outcomes, filtering out extreme outliers for a clearer view of consensus.